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Developing Robust Conceptual Design
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The concept design requires, as a minimum,
the following data and design information for the proposed
production facility:
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A process flow diagram |
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Heat and Material
Balance |
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An equipment list
(layouts cost estimates) |
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Selection of major
items of equipment |
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Size and cost of
major items of equipment |
The Concept design includes the project
cost, duration and identifies risks and how to minimise
these.
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Options Evaluation
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A concept is robust if it does not
require changes during the Front End Engineering and
Detailed Design stages. This requires the development and
evaluation of a number of competing concepts which would
meet the project specifications but with differing costs,
operational flexibility, reliability and plant availability.
For example a gas compression facility
can be designed with reciprocating compressors driven by gas
engines; or alternatively by centrifugal compressors driven
by gas turbines; or driven by electric motors. Similarly the
motors could be fixed speed drive or variable speed drives.
The cost and availability of the resulting concepts would be
very different and would require careful evaluation of their
pros and cons.
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Verification of Concept Design
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To ensure that the selected concept meets
the project objectives and specifications, it is necessary
to verify the concept design. It is normal practice to carry
out a Reliability and Availability analysis of the concepts
using "RAM models" using statistical data analysis. These
statistical models use reliability and availability data of
the selected equipment from generally published information
and from equipment suppliers. The drawback of this approach
is that the major equipment, such as large compressors and
drivers, which have the greatest impact on plant
availability, are of a bespoke design and the reliability
and availability data is usually obtained from the equipment
suppliers. The source of this data is confidential and
"selective" and cannot be verified independently. The
reliability values of machinery selected for RAM analysis
have a great impact on the overall plant availability .
MSE has developed an alternative approach based on "deterministic
models" which use our in-house performance and
reliability data of major items of machinery. The
mathematical models examine the knock on impact of machinery
failures on system performance and system capacity, thus
providing a more realistic plant performance and system
availability.
For example using statistical models, the production
capacity of a compression plant based on two compressor
trains would be halved if one train fails. Using MSE model
for the same plant, the failure of one train resulted in
only 10% loss in production capacity instead of 50%
production loss. This is because MSE model may take into
account the impact of the loss of one train on the overall
process systems and determined real production capacity with
the revised data. MSE Concept design provided higher
performance and capacity while using realistic performance
and availability data.
MSE verifies the concept design by building steady state
models (GASMAN)
which include the processing facility, heavy machinery, and
export pipelines. Where necessary, MSE extends the model to
include the upstream system, including gas gathering system,
well and wellheads and gas reservoirs. The GASMAN model
allows the project specification to be verified for normal
operation as well as for off-design operation; for example,
during project start, where operating conditions differ from
the design specification, as well as during early life.
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Sensitivity Analysis
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Project specifications include reservoir
predictions which are subject to uncertainties in terms of
product compositions, pressures, flows temperatures etc. The
GASMAN model verifies the upstream
sensitivities and their impact on the process design
resulting in a more robust concept. |